Projected
Points is the final output of our calculations. We consider 3 core
indicators: team power, matchup and points against, and players performance. We
also adjust the projections in a more qualitative approach, which we call “situation”
(player health, team momentum and home field, for instance).
Player
|
Team
|
Points
|
Julio Jones
|
ATL
|
18.67
|
TY Hilton
|
IND
|
15.58
|
Mike Evans
|
TB
|
15.54
|
AJ Green
|
CIN
|
15.31
|
Michael Crabtree
|
OAK
|
14.64
|
Larry Fitzgerald
|
ARI
|
12.73
|
Brandon Marshall
|
NYJ
|
12.39
|
Amari Cooper
|
OAK
|
11.77
|
Davante Adams
|
GB
|
11.68
|
Doug Baldwin
|
SEA
|
11.29
|
Brandon LaFell
|
CIN
|
10.92
|
Terrelle Pryor
|
CLE
|
10.16
|
Cole Beasley
|
DAL
|
10.11
|
Demaryius Thomas
|
DEN
|
10.06
|
Randall Cobb
|
GB
|
9.85
|
Emmanuel Sanders
|
DEN
|
9.65
|
Jordy Nelson
|
GB
|
9.30
|
Quincy Enunwa
|
NYJ
|
9.06
|
Stefon Diggs
|
MIN
|
8.72
|
Rishard Matthews
|
TEN
|
8.68
|
Michael Thomas
|
NO
|
8.64
|
Adam Thielen
|
MIN
|
8.58
|
Marvin Jones
|
DET
|
8.50
|
Allen Robinson
|
JAX
|
8.09
|
Brandin Cooks
|
NO
|
7.94
|
Cordarrelle Patterson
|
MIN
|
7.79
|
Golden Tate
|
DET
|
7.59
|
DeAndre Hopkins
|
HOU
|
6.77
|
Dez Bryant
|
DAL
|
6.61
|
Will Fuller
|
HOU
|
6.58
|
John Brown
|
ARI
|
6.50
|
Kelvin Benjamin
|
CAR
|
6.40
|
Allen Hurns
|
JAX
|
6.37
|
Kendall Wright
|
TEN
|
6.37
|
Michael Floyd
|
ARI
|
6.31
|
Anquan Boldin
|
DET
|
6.29
|
Jordan Matthews
|
PHI
|
6.26
|
Jamison Crowder
|
WSH
|
6.26
|
Robert Woods
|
BUF
|
5.89
|
Terrance Williams
|
DAL
|
5.88
|
Marquise Goodwin
|
BUF
|
5.64
|
Marqise Lee
|
JAX
|
5.60
|
Tyreek Hill
|
KC
|
5.59
|
Phillip Dorsett
|
IND
|
5.43
|
Ty Montgomery
|
GB
|
5.42
|
Pierre Garcon
|
WSH
|
5.35
|
Jeremy Maclin
|
KC
|
5.26
|
Justin Hunter
|
BUF
|
5.24
|
Andrew Hawkins
|
CLE
|
5.04
|
Willie Snead
|
NO
|
5.01
|
Seth Roberts
|
OAK
|
5.00
|
Mohamed Sanu
|
ATL
|
4.83
|
Chris Hogan
|
NE
|
4.70
|
Eddie Royal
|
CHI
|
4.37
|
Adam Humphries
|
TB
|
4.18
|
Julian Edelman
|
NE
|
4.14
|
Tyrell Williams
|
SD
|
3.98
|
Cameron Meredith
|
CHI
|
3.96
|
Chris Conley
|
KC
|
3.87
|
Chester Rogers
|
IND
|
3.86
|
Dorial Green-Beckham
|
PHI
|
3.77
|
Jermaine Kearse
|
SEA
|
3.71
|
DeSean Jackson
|
WSH
|
3.69
|
Corey Brown
|
CAR
|
3.61
|
Alshon Jeffery
|
CHI
|
3.41
|
Devin Funchess
|
CAR
|
3.40
|
Russell Shepard
|
TB
|
3.37
|
Tyler Boyd
|
CIN
|
3.32
|
Robby Anderson
|
NYJ
|
3.30
|
Brice Butler
|
DAL
|
3.07
|
Tajae Sharpe
|
TEN
|
3.04
|
Nelson Agholor
|
PHI
|
2.95
|
Ricardo Louis
|
CLE
|
2.74
|
Tyler Lockett
|
SEA
|
2.74
|
Jaelen Strong
|
HOU
|
2.66
|
Travis Benjamin
|
SD
|
2.41
|
Dontrelle Inman
|
SD
|
2.35
|
Jordan Norwood
|
DEN
|
2.29
|
Danny Amendola
|
NE
|
2.10
|
Justin Hardy
|
ATL
|
1.74
|
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