Projected
Points is the final output of our calculations. We consider 3 core
indicators: team power, matchup and points against, and players performance. We
also adjust the projections in a more qualitative approach, which we call “situation”
(player health, team momentum and home field, for instance).
Player
|
Team
|
Points
|
Christine Michael
|
SEA
|
22.71
|
David Johnson
|
ARI
|
20.88
|
Ezekiel Elliott
|
DAL
|
20.26
|
Spencer Ware
|
KC
|
18.71
|
DeMarco Murray
|
TEN
|
17.19
|
Devonta Freeman
|
ATL
|
16.32
|
LeGarrette Blount
|
NE
|
15.71
|
Melvin Gordon
|
SD
|
15.27
|
CJ Anderson
|
DEN
|
14.48
|
Matt Forte
|
NYJ
|
13.42
|
Latavius Murray
|
OAK
|
13.27
|
Jonathan Stewart
|
CAR
|
11.02
|
Theo Riddick
|
DET
|
11.02
|
James White
|
NE
|
10.77
|
Matt Jones
|
WSH
|
10.73
|
Frank Gore
|
IND
|
10.63
|
Jeremy Hill
|
CIN
|
10.51
|
Lamar Miller
|
HOU
|
10.14
|
Giovani Bernard
|
CIN
|
9.88
|
Devontae Booker
|
DEN
|
9.02
|
Chris Thompson
|
WSH
|
8.80
|
Jacquizz Rodgers
|
TB
|
8.79
|
Isaiah Crowell
|
CLE
|
8.51
|
Matt Asiata
|
MIN
|
8.39
|
Mark Ingram
|
NO
|
8.08
|
Jerick McKinnon
|
MIN
|
7.69
|
Mike Gillislee
|
BUF
|
6.71
|
Darren Sproles
|
PHI
|
6.69
|
Zach Zenner
|
DET
|
6.47
|
LeSean McCoy
|
BUF
|
6.00
|
Ryan Mathews
|
PHI
|
5.87
|
Jordan Howard
|
CHI
|
5.62
|
Bilal Powell
|
NYJ
|
5.28
|
Jamaal Charles
|
KC
|
5.01
|
Duke Johnson
|
CLE
|
4.77
|
Jalen Richard
|
OAK
|
4.71
|
Deandre Washington
|
OAK
|
4.69
|
Reggie Bush
|
BUF
|
4.63
|
TJ Yeldon
|
JAX
|
4.54
|
Chris Ivory
|
JAX
|
4.20
|
Alfred Morris
|
DAL
|
3.94
|
Peyton Barber
|
TB
|
3.74
|
Justin Forsett
|
DET
|
3.46
|
Fozzy Whittaker
|
CAR
|
3.45
|
Ka'Deem Carey
|
CHI
|
2.73
|
Derrick Henry
|
TEN
|
2.63
|
CJ Prosise
|
SEA
|
2.43
|
Alfred Blue
|
HOU
|
2.21
|
Charcandrick West
|
KC
|
2.20
|
Robert Turbin
|
IND
|
2.03
|
Travaris Cadet
|
NO
|
1.31
|
Andre Ellington
|
ARI
|
1.21
|
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