Projected
Points is the final output of our calculations. We consider 3 core
indicators: team power, matchup and points against, and players performance. We
also adjust the projections in a more qualitative approach, which we call “situation”
(player health, team momentum and home field, for instance).
Player
|
Team
|
Points
|
CJ Fiedorowicz
|
HOU
|
11.35
|
Jimmy Graham
|
SEA
|
10.87
|
Jordan Reed
|
WSH
|
10.77
|
Travis Kelce
|
KC
|
9.04
|
Cameron Brate
|
TB
|
8.68
|
Kyle Rudolph
|
MIN
|
8.57
|
Rob Gronkowski
|
NE
|
7.46
|
Hunter Henry
|
SD
|
6.55
|
Greg Olsen
|
CAR
|
6.43
|
Coby Fleener
|
NO
|
6.39
|
Delanie Walker
|
TEN
|
6.38
|
Martellus Bennett
|
NE
|
6.29
|
Gary Barnidge
|
CLE
|
5.98
|
Vernon Davis
|
WSH
|
5.84
|
Julius Thomas
|
JAX
|
5.44
|
Jacob Tamme
|
ATL
|
4.70
|
Antonio Gates
|
SD
|
4.50
|
Tyler Eifert
|
CIN
|
4.32
|
Jack Doyle
|
IND
|
4.26
|
Charles Clay
|
BUF
|
4.18
|
Austin Hooper
|
ATL
|
4.04
|
Ryan Griffin
|
HOU
|
3.96
|
Connor Hamlett
|
CLE
|
3.77
|
Zach Miller
|
CHI
|
3.71
|
Richard Rodgers
|
GB
|
3.53
|
Eric Ebron
|
DET
|
3.45
|
Zach Ertz
|
PHI
|
3.35
|
Dwayne Allen
|
IND
|
2.74
|
Josh Hill
|
NO
|
2.60
|
Jason Witten
|
DAL
|
2.51
|
CJ Uzomah
|
CIN
|
2.16
|
Clive Walford
|
OAK
|
2.08
|
Marcedes Lewis
|
JAX
|
1.87
|
Trey Burton
|
PHI
|
1.79
|
Virgil Green
|
DEN
|
1.60
|
Anthony Fasano
|
TEN
|
1.58
|
Demetrius Harris
|
KC
|
1.49
|
Jermaine Gresham
|
ARI
|
1.49
|
Ed Dickson
|
CAR
|
1.42
|
Luke Willson
|
SEA
|
1.22
|
Nick O'Leary
|
BUF
|
1.20
|
Darren Fells
|
ARI
|
1.11
|
Tyler Kroft
|
CIN
|
1.09
|
John Phillips
|
DEN
|
1.07
|
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