Projected
Points is the final output of our calculations. We consider 3 core
indicators: team power, matchup and points against, and players performance. We
also adjust the projections in a more qualitative approach, which we call “situation”
(player health, team momentum and home field, for instance).
Player
|
Team
|
Points
|
Aaron Rodgers
|
GB
|
22.70
|
Tom Brady
|
NE
|
22.67
|
Marcus Mariota
|
TEN
|
21.06
|
Matt Ryan
|
ATL
|
20.40
|
Andrew Luck
|
IND
|
19.55
|
Derek Carr
|
OAK
|
19.09
|
Russell Wilson
|
SEA
|
18.91
|
Jameis Winston
|
TB
|
18.53
|
Andy Dalton
|
CIN
|
18.50
|
Kirk Cousins
|
WSH
|
18.40
|
Tyrod Taylor
|
BUF
|
16.96
|
Sam Bradford
|
MIN
|
16.77
|
Alex Smith
|
KC
|
16.67
|
Matthew Stafford
|
DET
|
16.62
|
Carson Palmer
|
ARI
|
16.30
|
Dak Prescott
|
DAL
|
16.07
|
Drew Brees
|
NO
|
15.68
|
Blake Bortles
|
JAX
|
14.74
|
Cam Newton
|
CAR
|
14.58
|
Brock Osweiler
|
HOU
|
14.37
|
Carson Wentz
|
PHI
|
13.46
|
Ryan Fitzpatrick
|
NYJ
|
12.40
|
Trevor Siemian
|
DEN
|
12.26
|
Philip Rivers
|
SD
|
12.07
|
Cody Kessler
|
CLE
|
10.39
|
Jay Cutler
|
CHI
|
8.37
|
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